The Impact of a Regional Nuclear Conflict between India and Pakistan: Two Views

The severity of climatic effects a regional nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan, involving the use hundred Hiroshima-scale weapons, is contested two groups; Mills et al. from National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), University Colorado, Rutgers conclude that global Nuclear Winter would occur; Reisner Los Alamos Laboratory (LANL) No occur. This paper discusses different assumptions lead to conclusions. Specifically, it highlights fuel loading input methods amount initial location black carbon (BC) into climate models, some underlying reasons these choices, including question what kind fire will occur in aftermath weapon being dropped on densely populated city. also briefly physical phenomena have not been considered by either group lays out questions research before any definitive conclusion about limited war can be reached. However, until problems are resolved, disarmament point view, precautionary principle is, situations such high stakes millions deaths, there an obligation assume worst-case scenario. Such scenario include possibility could cause leading broader conflict.